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Sizing to Heat Demand (Not Electricity)

CHP should be sized to annual heat demand curve; oversizing = wasted electricity export.

10 min read · Jacob Willis, Net Zero Lead · Last reviewed July 2026


The golden rule of CHP sizing is one sentence: size to the heat demand, not the electrical demand. Get this wrong and the most efficient technology becomes a money pit, because a unit sized for peak electricity produces surplus heat it has to dump. This lesson explains why heat leads, how to read the heat load-duration curve, where the base-load sweet spot sits, and how a thermal store buffers the mismatch.

In this lesson

  • 01Why heat leads
  • 02Reading the heat load-duration curve
  • 03The base-load sweet spot
  • 04Sources and further reading